Bayesian Capital Management, LP holds a diversified book of 223 reported positions worth $156.3M as of Q2 2026 (disclosed Aug 14, 2026, a ~45-day 13F lag). This quarter Honeywell Aerospace Inc first appears in 13F filings, a listing rather than a purchase; they opened Alibaba Group Holding-SP ADR and trimmed Nike Inc -CL B. Their largest long position is Alibaba Group Holding-SP ADR at 4% of the reported non-option book. Cloning the disclosed picks since 2025 would be +10% (+12.0%/yr). That is a simulation of the disclosed long book, not audited returns.
The reported book (valued from quarter-end) returned +22.9%, a 13.1-point gap that is the cost of the ~45-day 13F disclosure lag a real follower can't avoid.
Growth of $10,000 cloning Bayesian Capital Management, LP's disclosed long 13F book, rebalanced on each filing date (so it reflects each quarter's actual reporting lag, ~45 days for the latest filing, with no look-ahead), total-return basis (dividends reinvested), derived from end-of-day prices. “Their reported book” values the same picks from quarter-end, before they were public. S&P 500 is SPY total return over the same window. Excludes shorts, cash, options and non-13F holdings. Not investment advice.
Top-heavy: diversified book
Share of the disclosed book in its largest positions. A higher top-5 share means a more concentrated, higher-conviction portfolio.
95% mapped to company sectors
+5 sectors below the cut, 10% together
Direct operating-company sectors from our SIC-based security master. ETF/fund and unclassified holdings stay visible separately; this is not ETF look-through exposure.
Estimated $ traded · quarter-end prices (an exit at the prior quarter-end), no cost basis
Other tracked managers holding the same core names as Bayesian Capital Management, LP
| Manager / fund | Shared names | Their $ in those |
|---|---|---|
| Graticule Asia Macro Advisors LLC | 14 / 80 | $1.3B |
| Aspiring Ventures, LLC | 14 / 80 | $287.9M |
| Sloy Dahl & Holst, LLC | 12 / 80 | $521.2M |
| AXS Investments LLC | 27 / 80 | $198.6M |
| Ketron Financial | 8 / 80 | $170.5M |
| Gallagher Fiduciary Advisors, LLC | 25 / 80 | $1.5B |
| Hoey Investments, Inc | 43 / 80 | $362.6M |
| V. M. Manning & Co., Inc. | 10 / 80 | $54.4M |
Ranked by the share of each fund's own book sitting in the names it shares with Bayesian Capital Management, LP: only funds sharing at least a tenth of the book qualify. Index giants, bank custody books and market makers are excluded. They hold everything, so their overlap says nothing.
Bars show each position's share of the portfolio. Click a row for its position history.
| # | Security | Value | Shares | % Port | Last move | History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alibaba Group Hldg Ltd SPONSORED ADS | $6.5M | 68.0K | 4.2% | ▲New New position | |
| 2 | Nvidia Corporation COM | $6.2M | 31.2K | 4.0% | ▲New New position | |
| 3 | Microsoft Corp COM | $6.0M | 16.2K | 3.9% | ▲+119% Added · +9K sh | |
| 4 | Oracle Corp COM | $5.1M | 34.9K | 3.3% | ▲11× Added · +32K sh | |
| 5 | Invesco QQQ TR UNIT SER 1 | $3.7M | 5.0K | 2.4% | ▲New New position | |
| 6 | Wells Fargo & Co COM | $3.1M | 37.5K | 2.0% | ▲New New position | |
| 7 | ASML Hldg NV N Y REGISTRY SHS | $2.4M | 1.2K | 1.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 8 | Citigroup Inc COM NEW | $2.2M | 15.7K | 1.4% | ▲+78% Added · +7K sh | |
| 9 | Palantir Technologies Inc CL A | $2.1M | 18.0K | 1.3% | ▲New New position | |
| 10 | Boston Scientific Corp COM | $2.1M | 48.5K | 1.3% | ▲+106% Added · +25K sh | |
| 11 | Cognizant Technology Solutio CL A | $2.0M | 51.7K | 1.3% | ▲New New position | |
| 12 | Nike Inc CL B | $2.0M | 48.5K | 1.3% | ▼−5.1% Reduced · −3K sh | |
| 13 | Pepsico Inc COM | $2.0M | 14.6K | 1.3% | ▲New New position | |
| 14 | Air Products And Chemicals I COM | $1.8M | 6.2K | 1.2% | ▲New New position | |
| 15 | Ishares TR RUSSELL 2000 ETF | $1.8M | 5.9K | 1.1% | ▲New New position | |
| 16 | Host Hotels & Resorts Inc COM | $1.7M | 73.7K | 1.1% | ▲New New position | |
| 17 | Cme Group Inc COM | $1.7M | 7.5K | 1.1% | ▲New New position | |
| 18 | Walmart Inc COM | $1.6M | 14.4K | 1.0% | ▲New New position | |
| 19 | Suncor Energy Inc New COM | $1.6M | 30.2K | 1.0% | ▲New New position | |
| 20 | Intuitive Surgical Inc COM NEW | $1.6M | 4.0K | 1.0% | ▲New New position | |
| 21 | Cisco Sys Inc COM | $1.6M | 13.3K | 1.0% | ▲New New position | |
| 22 | Nokia Corp SPONSORED ADR | $1.5M | 115.4K | 1.0% | ▲New New position | |
| 23 | Barrick MNG Corp COM SHS | $1.5M | 41.0K | 1.0% | ▲New New position | |
| 24 | Applied Digital Corp COM NEW | $1.4M | 37.8K | 0.9% | ▲New New position | |
| 25 | Bank Of Amer Corp COM | $1.4M | 24.2K | 0.9% | ▲New New position | |
| 26 | Halliburton Co COM | $1.4M | 40.5K | 0.9% | ▲New New position | |
| 27 | Delta Air Lines Inc COM NEW | $1.3M | 13.9K | 0.8% | ▲New New position | |
| 28 | Accenture PLC Ireland SHS CLASS A | $1.3M | 10.3K | 0.8% | ▲New New position | |
| 29 | Canadian Nat Res Ltd Med Ter COM | $1.2M | 31.6K | 0.8% | ▲+427% Added · +26K sh | |
| 30 | Kenvue Inc COM | $1.2M | 63.4K | 0.8% | ▲New New position | |
| 31 | Rollins Inc COM | $1.2M | 28.2K | 0.8% | ▲New New position | |
| 32 | Coca Cola Co COM | $1.2M | 14.3K | 0.7% | ▲+276% Added · +11K sh | |
| 33 | American Express Co COM | $1.2M | 3.4K | 0.7% | ▲New New position | |
| 34 | Gilead Sciences Inc COM | $1.1M | 9.1K | 0.7% | ▲+320% Added · +7K sh | |
| 35 | McDonalds Corp COM | $1.1M | 4.2K | 0.7% | ▲New New position | |
| 36 | Sandisk Corp COM | $1.1M | 497 | 0.7% | ▼−88% Reduced · −4K sh | |
| 37 | Bristol-Myers Squibb Co COM | $1.1M | 19.2K | 0.7% | ▲New New position | |
| 38 | Intercontinental Exchange In COM | $1.1M | 8.7K | 0.7% | ▲New New position | |
| 39 | Roku Inc COM CL A | $1.1M | 7.6K | 0.7% | ▲New New position | |
| 40 | Taylor Morrison Home Corp COM | $1.0M | 14.0K | 0.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 41 | General MTRS Co COM | $1.0M | 13.0K | 0.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 42 | Fox Corp CL A COM | $996K | 19.1K | 0.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 43 | Johnson Controls Internation SHS | $994K | 6.8K | 0.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 44 | Bloom Energy Corp COM CL A | $986K | 3.3K | 0.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 45 | Apollo Global Mgmt Inc COM | $950K | 8.0K | 0.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 46 | JPMorgan Chase & Co COM | $949K | 2.9K | 0.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 47 | GSK PLC SPONSORED ADR | $949K | 18.1K | 0.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 48 | Snap Inc CL A | $924K | 208.2K | 0.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 49 | Hilton Worldwide Hldgs Inc COM | $908K | 2.7K | 0.6% | ▲New New position | |
| 50 | Alcoa Corp COM | $886K | 17.0K | 0.6% | ▲New New position |
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As-of date vs the date the SEC received each filing
Reported 13F total per quarter. Raw filing totals can include option notional.
Holdings from SEC EDGAR 13F-HR filings, updated quarterly, filed up to 45 days after quarter-end. Public domain. Book totals and portfolio weights cover reported non-option positions, which can include notes and warrants. Disclosed put/call options are listed separately and excluded from those totals. The performance line is a simulation of the disclosed long book, not an audited return.