High Probability Advisors, LLC holds a focused book of 75 stocks worth $935.0M as of Q2 2026 (disclosed Jul 13, 2026, a ~13-day 13F lag). This quarter they opened Micron Technology Inc and trimmed Dimensional US Core Equity 2. Their largest long position is Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF at 13% of the equity book. Cloning the disclosed picks since 2024 would be +27% (+14.2%/yr). That is a simulation of the disclosed long book, not audited returns.
The reported book (valued from quarter-end) returned +72.6%, a 45.7-point gap that is the cost of the ~13-day 13F disclosure lag a real follower can't avoid.
Growth of $10,000 cloning High Probability Advisors, LLC's disclosed long 13F book, rebalanced on each filing date (so it reflects each quarter's actual reporting lag, ~13 days for the latest filing, with no look-ahead), total-return basis (dividends reinvested), derived from end-of-day prices. “Their reported book” values the same picks from quarter-end, before they were public. S&P 500 is SPY total return over the same window. Excludes shorts, cash, options and non-13F holdings. Not investment advice.
Top-heavy: focused book
Share of the disclosed book in its largest positions. A higher top-5 share means a more concentrated, higher-conviction portfolio.
1% mapped to company sectors
Direct operating-company sectors from our SIC-based security master. ETF/fund and unclassified holdings stay visible separately; this is not ETF look-through exposure.
Estimated $ traded · quarter-end prices, no cost basis
Other tracked managers holding the same core names as High Probability Advisors, LLC
| Manager / fund | Shared names | Their $ in those |
|---|---|---|
| MORGAN STANLEY | 77 / 75 | $416.5B |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 77 / 75 | $359.5B |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 77 / 75 | $299.0B |
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | 77 / 75 | $120.7B |
| LPL Financial LLC | 77 / 75 | $72.4B |
| COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC | 77 / 75 | $16.4B |
| WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC | 77 / 75 | $15.4B |
| OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC. | 77 / 75 | $13.6B |
Ranked by how many of High Probability Advisors, LLC's top 75 disclosed names each fund also holds: a cross-fund conviction signal from the latest 13F of every tracked manager.
Bars show each stock's share of the portfolio. Click a row for its position history.
| # | Security | Value | Shares | % Port | Last move | History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goldman Sachs ETF TR ACTIVEBETA US LG | $117.3M | 827.0K | 12.5% | ▲+4.9% Added · +39K sh | |
| 2 | Ishares TR MSCI USA MMENTM | $110.4M | 322.0K | 11.8% | ▲+2.5% Added · +8K sh | |
| 3 | Dimensional ETF Trust US HIGH PROF ETF | $67.2M | 1.61M | 7.2% | ▲+6.1% Added · +93K sh | |
| 4 | BlackRock ETF Trust ISHARES US EQUIT | $59.9M | 881.5K | 6.4% | ▲+5.9% Added · +49K sh | |
| 5 | Ishares TR NEW YORK MUN ETF | $51.5M | 956.1K | 5.5% | ▲+23% Added · +181K sh | |
| 6 | Goldman Sachs ETF TR ACTIVEBETA INT | $48.6M | 1.06M | 5.2% | ▲+7.5% Added · +74K sh | |
| 7 | Dimensional ETF Trust INTL HIGH PROFIT | $44.6M | 1.31M | 4.8% | ▲+7.0% Added · +85K sh | |
| 8 | Schwab Strategic TR SHT TM US TRES | $42.5M | 1.76M | 4.5% | ▲+4.5% Added · +76K sh | |
| 9 | Ishares TR MSCI USA MIN ETF | $40.2M | 417.2K | 4.3% | ▲+6.0% Added · +24K sh | |
| 10 | Schwab Strategic TR INT-TRM U.S TRES | $38.8M | 1.57M | 4.2% | ▲+24% Added · +302K sh | |
| 11 | American Centy ETF TR US SML CP VALU | $36.9M | 295.6K | 3.9% | ▲+5.4% Added · +15K sh | |
| 12 | Fidelity Covington Trust VLU FACTOR ETF | $34.6M | 443.7K | 3.7% | ▲+4.5% Added · +19K sh | |
| 13 | SPDR Series Trust ST INTER BD ETF | $31.4M | 939.1K | 3.4% | ▲+5.4% Added · +48K sh | |
| 14 | American Centy ETF TR AVANTIS EMGMKT | $28.0M | 289.8K | 3.0% | ▲+5.3% Added · +15K sh | |
| 15 | Fidelity Covington Trust QLTY FCTOR ETF | $27.8M | 341.8K | 3.0% | ▲+4.6% Added · +15K sh | |
| 16 | Ishares TR 0-5YR HI YL CP | $24.1M | 568.6K | 2.6% | ▲+6.6% Added · +35K sh | |
| 17 | Ishares TR CORE S&P US VLU | $20.9M | 189.3K | 2.2% | ▲+6.2% Added · +11K sh | |
| 18 | Ishares TR MSCI INTL VLU FT | $15.9M | 380.9K | 1.7% | ▲+5.1% Added · +18K sh | |
| 19 | Goldman Sachs ETF TR ACTIVEBETA US | $15.4M | 169.2K | 1.7% | ▲+5.6% Added · +9K sh | |
| 20 | Schwab Strategic TR FUNDAMENTAL INTL | $14.9M | 306.0K | 1.6% | ▲+5.6% Added · +16K sh | |
| 21 | SPDR Series Trust ST LON TREAS ETF | $11.9M | 454.4K | 1.3% | ▲+13% Added · +51K sh | |
| 22 | State STR SPDR S&P 500 ETF T TR UNIT | $9.5M | 12.7K | 1.0% | —Held | |
| 23 | SPDR Series Trust ST STR P500ETF | $5.2M | 58.7K | 0.6% | ▲+6.1% Added · +3K sh | |
| 24 | Vanguard Mun BD FDS TAX EXEMPT BD | $4.8M | 95.9K | 0.5% | ▲+33% Added · +24K sh | |
| 25 | Ishares TR RUSSELL 3000 ETF | $2.2M | 5.2K | 0.2% | —Held | |
| 26 | Ishares TR RESIDENTIAL MULT | $2.2M | 23.1K | 0.2% | ▲+0.1% Added · +33 sh | |
| 27 | Ishares TR CORE MSCI TOTAL | $2.0M | 20.7K | 0.2% | ▲+6.2% Added · +1K sh | |
| 28 | Ishares TR CORE S&P500 ETF | $1.8M | 2.4K | 0.2% | ▲+1.3% Added · +32 sh | |
| 29 | Ishares TR RUS 1000 VAL ETF | $1.5M | 6.2K | 0.2% | —Held | |
| 30 | Apple Inc COM | $1.4M | 4.8K | 0.2% | ▲+0.4% Added · +19 sh | |
| 31 | Dimensional ETF Trust US COR EQU 2 ETF | $1.3M | 29.5K | 0.1% | ▼−4.4% Reduced · −1K sh | |
| 32 | SPDR Series Trust ST STR P400MID | $1.2M | 18.3K | 0.1% | ▲+5.7% Added · +984 sh | |
| 33 | Ishares TR MSCI ACWI EX US | $1.2M | 15.9K | 0.1% | ▼−0.3% Reduced · −56 sh | |
| 34 | Schwab Strategic TR US BRD MKT ETF | $1.1M | 37.4K | 0.1% | ▲+2.0% Added · +732 sh | |
| 35 | Ishares TR RUSSELL 2000 ETF | $984K | 3.3K | 0.1% | —Held | |
| 36 | Broadstone Net Lease Inc COM | $972K | 47.0K | 0.1% | ▼−9.5% Reduced · −5K sh | |
| 37 | Microsoft Corp COM | $771K | 2.1K | 0.1% | ▼−10% Reduced · −236 sh | |
| 38 | Alphabet Inc CAP STK CL A | $767K | 2.1K | 0.1% | ▼−3.6% Reduced · −81 sh | |
| 39 | Ishares TR CORE S&P SCP ETF | $732K | 4.9K | 0.1% | ▼−0.8% Reduced · −39 sh | |
| 40 | Trane Technologies PLC SHS | $668K | 1.4K | 0.1% | ▼−2.8% Reduced · −39 sh | |
| 41 | Vanguard Tax-Managed FDS VAN FTSE DEV MKT | $662K | 9.3K | 0.1% | —Held | |
| 42 | Dimensional ETF Trust US TARGETED VLU | $606K | 8.7K | 0.1% | —Held | |
| 43 | Ishares TR S&P 100 ETF | $589K | 1.6K | 0.1% | —Held | |
| 44 | Eaton Corp PLC SHS | $522K | 1.2K | 0.1% | ▼−8.4% Reduced · −112 sh | |
| 45 | Ishares TR MSCI ACWI ETF | $511K | 3.3K | 0.1% | —Held | |
| 46 | Ishares TR INTRM GOV CR ETF | $509K | 4.8K | 0.1% | —Held | |
| 47 | Micron Technology Inc COM | $499K | 432 | 0.1% | ▲New New position | |
| 48 | Goldman Sachs ETF TR ACCES TREASURY | $472K | 4.7K | 0.1% | ▲+0.4% Added · +20 sh | |
| 49 | Ishares TR 3 7 YR TREAS BD | $458K | 3.9K | 0.0% | ▲+0.6% Added · +24 sh | |
| 50 | Nvidia Corporation COM | $427K | 2.1K | 0.0% | ▲+30% Added · +496 sh |
The public view is the crawlable proof. The same sourced dataset is available through REST and MCP for agents, research scripts, and back-office tools.
This fund page is the Follow view. The Build view lets your agent pull holdings, quarter changes, overlap, and source filings through API or MCP.
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer YOUR_API_KEY" \ "https://arkolith.com/api/v1/funds/2039415/holdings"
Use Arkolith to show High Probability Advisors, LLC's latest holdings, largest changes, and filing provenance.
As-of date vs the date the SEC received each filing
| Quarter | As of | Filed | Positions | Value | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Jul 13, 2026 | 75 | $935.0M | 13F-HR |
| Q1 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | Apr 13, 2026 | 67 | $781.4M | 13F-HR |
| Q4 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | Jan 29, 2026 | 73 | $749.9M | 13F-HR |
| Q3 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | Oct 14, 2025 | 65 | $729.3M | 13F-HR |
| Q2 2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | Jul 9, 2025 | 60 | $668.7M | 13F-HR |
| Q1 2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | Apr 16, 2025 | 55 | $599.6M | 13F-HR |
| Q4 2024 | Dec 31, 2024 | Jan 17, 2025 | 55 | $557.8M | 13F-HR |
| Q4 2020 | Dec 31, 2020 | Nov 14, 2024 | 33 | $163.4M | 13F-HR |
Holdings from SEC EDGAR 13F-HR filings, updated quarterly, filed up to 45 days after quarter-end. Public domain. The book and weighting are long equity only; disclosed put/call options are listed separately and excluded from those totals. The performance line is a simulation of the disclosed long book, not an audited return.