Tools/Prediction markets

divergence.scan

5 crread-only

Cross-market divergence: for a topic keyword, pull matching contracts from Polymarket and Kalshi and compare implied probabilities to surface potential mispricing/arb. Note: matches are keyword-correlated, not verified same-event — confirm the contracts describe the same outcome before trading.

Parameters#

ParameterTypeDescription
queryreqstringTopic keyword, e.g. 'recession', 'fed', 'government shutdown'
limitoptnumberMax contracts per platform (default 8)

Example call#

bash
curl -X POST https://arkolith.com/api/mcp \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer YOUR_API_KEY" \
  -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{
  "jsonrpc": "2.0",
  "id": 1,
  "method": "tools/call",
  "params": {
    "name": "divergence.scan",
    "arguments": {
      "query": "recession"
    }
  }
}'

Example response#

Shape varies
Output depends on your arguments and live data. Make the call above to see the exact response. Every result includes a provenance block where the source carries one.